Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.022109e-01 0.240789 0.282134 0.329468 0.381886 0.437897 0.502009
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.509911e-01 0.202612 0.262137 0.334741 0.419817 0.515321 0.629599
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.085980e-01 0.165272 0.235648 0.326812 0.439196 0.570795 0.734107
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.217523e-02 0.141729 0.221103 0.329627 0.469334 0.638685 0.855003
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.961516e-02 0.118123 0.202190 0.323512 0.486292 0.690004 0.957022
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.094630e-02 0.095309 0.180186 0.309743 0.490851 0.724522 1.038277
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.162253e-02 0.084899 0.174119 0.316513 0.521893 0.792936 1.163273
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.204014e-02 0.070901 0.159914 0.309347 0.532373 0.833858 1.253347
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.811012e-02 0.066817 0.161090 0.324914 0.574993 0.918327 1.401591
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.313032e-02 0.058429 0.153267 0.325244 0.594959 0.972054 1.509979
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.428890e-03 0.051397 0.146549 0.326310 0.615419 1.026399 1.619754
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.263232e-03 0.047532 0.145186 0.335857 0.648613 1.098924 1.755033
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.565390e-03 0.044305 0.144832 0.347447 0.686012 1.179292 1.904060
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.172812e-03 0.041197 0.144175 0.358309 0.722546 1.259211 2.053957
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.483585e-03 0.034978 0.135261 0.353264 0.733336 1.301960 2.153019
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.605844e-03 0.031485 0.131993 0.358232 0.760155 1.368410 2.285989
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.066014e-04 0.026553 0.123877 0.352970 0.769629 1.409137 2.383158
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.657350e-04 0.020933 0.112137 0.339075 0.763602 1.426079 2.446394
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.255035e-04 0.019158 0.111032 0.346711 0.794258 1.498766 2.590118
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.970827e-05 0.015622 0.103253 0.339354 0.798397 1.530805 2.675509
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.701748e-06 0.015373 0.106465 0.356082 0.845281 1.629322 2.858342
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.127943e-08 0.013301 0.102544 0.356534 0.863086 1.682932 2.976308
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.011546 0.099136 0.357730 0.882067 1.738502 3.097623